Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.922470 1.132288 1.357322 1.614475 1.898144 2.199636 2.542456
2024-10-20 0.608492 0.879972 1.196618 1.583845 2.036097 2.540122 3.137172
2024-10-27 0.518105 0.833659 1.221265 1.713845 2.306795 2.983512 3.800957
2024-11-03 0.443059 0.790346 1.237906 1.826090 2.552216 3.396953 4.433136
2024-11-10 0.387316 0.759226 1.259194 1.934916 2.786196 3.791468 5.039124
2024-11-17 0.342251 0.734308 1.282340 2.041548 3.014723 4.178397 5.636631
2024-11-24 0.285893 0.682215 1.261269 2.085179 3.160665 4.463297 6.111639
2024-12-01 0.228965 0.618350 1.215995 2.090731 3.254018 4.681237 6.504662
2024-12-08 0.166559 0.531260 1.127206 2.029485 3.255497 4.781669 6.752416
2024-12-15 0.117441 0.454794 1.044927 1.969671 3.252915 4.872600 6.985106
2024-12-22 0.083755 0.398333 0.986665 1.938098 3.283126 5.001201 7.261145
2024-12-29 0.065181 0.369755 0.970551 1.965413 3.391003 5.227620 7.658038
2025-01-05 0.044747 0.329951 0.935039 1.968006 3.473454 5.433434 8.046079
2025-01-12 0.026453 0.283747 0.882230 1.941026 3.513908 5.585641 8.369352
2025-01-19 0.025103 0.295707 0.938479 2.084444 3.793718 6.050577 9.088045
2025-01-26 0.022627 0.302059 0.983840 2.211170 4.051023 6.487594 9.773606
2025-02-02 0.020066 0.306700 1.025598 2.332380 4.301141 6.916176 10.449934
2025-02-09 0.017648 0.310645 1.065777 2.451349 4.548789 7.342603 11.125114
2025-02-16 0.012176 0.294247 1.062949 2.499846 4.695326 7.635738 11.631304
2025-02-23 0.006618 0.267575 1.035476 2.506038 4.779793 7.846071 12.031770
2025-03-02 0.001749 0.224417 0.965832 2.437882 4.753387 7.906727 12.239143
2025-03-09 0.000082 0.186352 0.900043 2.371242 4.725595 7.962895 12.438662
2025-03-16 NaN 0.159349 0.854783 2.336028 4.741077 8.074583 12.707122